The root causes are mainly twofold.

First, in terms of financial income, generally speaking, a family's income is only $100,000 a year, and it is already not easy to afford one child; $3 million for a boy, and conservatively speaking, $8 million for two boys. [face][face][face][face][face][face]. Hard to afford. Wages are not growing fast enough to keep up with house prices almost. [facepalm] [facepalm] [facepalm] [facepalm]

Secondly, in terms of work pressure, once you have a family, if you don't work, you don't have an income, and you don't dare to change your job at will.

The birth rate is getting lower and lower for the following reasons.

∽, people anxious, no confidence in high prices and high consumption conditions in the education of children. To put it bluntly, the family's economic conditions are not good enough, the pressure of external competition, the pressure of adults' work and life and children's learning and education competition pressure are big, that is, the survival environment is bad.

∽ Those who have better family conditions have difficulty in conceiving for their own personal reasons. There are also those who only want personal comfort and exquisite life, not willing to invest too much energy to give birth and education. There are also, due to the nature of the work, such as promotion, etc., can be born do not want to birth, to maintain their own advantage.

∽The poor welfare policies for pregnant women, as well as the policies of organizations and enterprises, have put pressure on women who are able to give birth.

Having children is a big deal for the country; it's not important for the people; if one generation has a hard time, do you make it harder for the next one.

The low birth rate is a worldwide problem. There is a strange circle about this problem, that is, the more economically advanced the economy is, the lower the birth rate is. It is like the countryside before the 1970s and 1980s, where food was bad and clothing was poor, but there was a child-bearing race, with seven or eight children in every family. China had to implement family planning to limit the population. But while the cities were well restricted, the rural areas were penalized by having to give birth even if the family had four walls.

Now that conditions are better and the second child has been liberalized, the predicted population explosion has not occurred and an ageing population society is coming. What is the reason?

Some people attribute the main reasons to high house prices, rising prices and the high cost of education. In many countries, there are incentives to give birth and free education, but the fertility rate still fails to rise. For example, in Australia, there are three years of maternity leave, salaries are paid as usual, kindergarten to university are free, and house prices are not too high. However, the fertility rate still fails to rise. South Korea, for example, is predicted to be the first country in the world to disappear because of its low fertility rate. In fact, the high cost of raising children nowadays is pushed up by parents themselves. For example, compulsory education is free, but they have to spend a lot of money on private schools. Originally, the tutorial classes can not go on, but have to enroll the child in several kinds. In life, this and that nutrition, supplement this and that. The new clothes they bought will be worn for a few days before they are thrown away and replaced with new ones. All of them have money to burn!

I think it is mainly a change in concepts. Originally, it was to raise children for old age and to have many children. Now it's about relying on oneself for old age, and the burden of having many children is heavy. Why do you want to raise children? Children can't be raised by their own parents, and women can't be raised by their own mothers. The children that you have taken the trouble to raise, not to mention taking care of you, do not even bother to make a phone call. One child is not so bad, but if you have more children, they will become enemies for the sake of the family property, which makes the old people feel ashamed of themselves.

Many old people say that it is useless to raise so many wolves.

First, with the one-child family planning, we are used to having one child and do not want to have more than one. The idea that it is good to have only one child has been deeply rooted in people's hearts.

Second, the cost of living has risen dramatically; healthcare can cost you everything in just a few days. Education exhausts most families. Buying a home puts most people in debt.

Thirdly, the sense of crisis in life, even if you have a little savings, you have to consider the medical, education, buy a house, marriage brings the sense of oppression. I don't know if the analysis is right, rich people don't spray.

Why do we have children anyway?

Have you thought about the "return on fertility"?

An area with low fertility levels is not necessarily an economically depressed area. That is to say, a region that is economically affluent and has a low cost of raising children is not necessarily a region with a high fertility rate.

For example, in the Nordic countries where the average social welfare is very high. The five Nordic countries can be considered the welfare roof of the world.

Norway has the highest GBP per capita in Northern Europe. Norway's birth rate is actually 1, 53. This achievement is not similar to our country. However, sitting on the roof of the world's welfare. All the people to provide housing (that place is sparsely populated, a lot of houses no one lives) education, medical care, pension place, how the birth score is still so low.

According to general economic theory, a fertility rate below 1.5 is an economic warning line! This means that a low fertility rate can significantly affect the functioning of the economy.

And in Asia. Fertility report card is not the most ugly, only more ugly. There is South Korea, which is said to have "disappeared naturally after 200 years". There is also a country with a long history of fertility problems: Singapore.

If the argument that "high costs of parenting result in low fertility levels" is valid, then what is the explanation for the low fertility rates in the Nordic countries? What about the low fertility rates in the Nordic countries?

Let's take a look at Europe's successors!

France. The only country in Europe with a birth rate below 2.

France is a traditionally fertile country. She's not like Sweden or Germany, which are emerging as big producers. The latter may be 1 or 3 this year, 1 or 8 next year, and simply fall off again the year after that. This kind of ups and downs in fertility performance comes from their immigration policy. Once it's liberalized, it works. Once it's closed, it's low. The same goes for Singapore in Asia.

But France is different. France has always had a good fertility rate in Europe. There are many similarities between French and Chinese cultures. Mr. Koo Hung-ming, a famous scholar, once said that France is the only country in the West that looks like China.

France emphasizes kinship. This is largely true of ancient civilizations. The French have a strong sense of family in Europe. If there is a barrier-free language translation channel, a Parisian mom and a Tianjin mom can talk to each other.

What: Husband not acting. Kids don't listen. Daughter-in-law is lazy, son is tired, grandson won't sleep today!

French moms are extremely involved in their sons' families. Mom and pop girls, and mom and pop boys are also a piece of cake. Daughters-in-law and mothers-in-law fight hot and heavy too .........

Don't look at this as if it's unleveled, unqualified paternalism. In fact, it shows an important point here.

Family values.

The French have extremely strong family values. （Family cohesion is strong (certainly in European countries). The affinity between parents and children is also strong. The concrete-like affinity that stirs and solidifies the stones of father, son, mother and child firmly together is this is the cornerstone of the population!

With no benefits as good as those in Northern Europe, the French still love to have children. Whether it's a single parent or two parents. Dragging a family around is the norm for the French ......

Ten thousand feet high!

It's still the same thing. Inputs are considered outputs.

What on earth do we want to have children for. What do children bring to us?

The French answer: Children fill the rest of my life with hope and love.

In other words, it is not afraid of high inputs but low outputs!

However, in China today, a more and more dominant public opinion slogan is being shouted: people should have a sense of boundaries!

This is a culture that originated in Japan and began to spread to China at the turn of the century. That is, the concept of kinship alienation!

This is contrary to our traditional culture's idea of family, which goes against the grain. Young people want both parents to have a sense of boundaries. Just get out of our lives as soon as you are ready for the housing dowry!

Many elderly people have also said: I will go to a nursing home when I am old. I will never cause trouble for my children.

Actually, have you thought about it?

If the parents were to pay the money for the house and disappear. Then, even the children, who are the ones who have profited from it, would have a chill down their spine! Because, their children will ask the same of them. Parents who have worked hard to bring up their children will have to copy the regulations and disappear on time after raising their children!

A society without respect for the elderly cannot have a high fertility rate. Because all people will be old, not now. They will be old in the future.

I always regret that I don't have children because of my poor health. Our family is a traditional family. The early death of my parents was not an option. My stepmother is still alive and my brother is very filial. I have to manage too.

So, under this general environmental protection, my brother was excited to have two children. Because he felt that he could look forward to his old age. His second son, "Little Monkey", asked him seriously the other day, "Dad, I want to marry Gogo in the future, do you agree? Gogo said she wanted to have two babies. One at a time. After you retire, you can babysit for us. ......"

Monkey is a "fertility activist". He's only in fourth grade. He doesn't think about going to school, but he already has a plan for childbearing. In his mind, a family is a big, happy family with three generations of grandchildren.

This is the traditional concept of family.

But so many young people today, don't recognize this way of life anymore. The split between urban and rural areas. It makes young people leave their rural homes early to seek employment in the cities.

On the one hand, there is the great pressure of life. On the one hand, very little respect for the elderly and filial piety. This double effect makes young people think about one question: What will I get if I have children? Young people will consider the question: What will I get if I have children?

Kinship? When your children grow up, they are not with you.

Elderly? He himself has not done his filial duty to the elderly. He also thinks that his children will follow the prescription and ignore them in the future.

So here's the rhetorical question: Why do we have children when we get nothing?

In fact, I have found that many of those who voluntarily give up childbearing are not from the poorest rural areas, nor are they from underdeveloped areas. On the contrary, they are the working class in the big cities with a decent income.

They really don't have confidence in raising children. Look at the state of their own parents. They don't have much hope for their children either.

Huge investments of property and energy, even at the expense of mom's career, in exchange for "a few days for the holidays. Signing off on hospitalization and surgery"?

It's not worth it!

There is a serious imbalance between input and output!

In fact, this is no longer a simple moral issue. In the process of urbanization and industrialization, this is something that so many people can do nothing about. However, I personally would like to appeal to society:

Can you, as far as possible, honor the elderly when your condition is acceptable.

It's a matter of social mores. If society as a whole is oriented towards "mother-in-laws are nasty; older people are poorly qualified; parents are toxic parents; people with no sense of boundaries; get out of young people's lives ......"

Such is the perception of public opinion. Then the quality of life for the elderly is put aside for a moment. For the young, do you dare to procreate?

Give birth to a child that you will spend a great deal of effort to raise, and then you will have to work as hard as you can to prepare a house dowry for him. And then what?

It is to withdraw from the child's life and disappear!

When you get old, all of society will tell you that you have to solve all of your problems on your own and don't count on your children!

Then I might as well save a few extra retirement dollars now!

Of course, noble parents are supposed to, without reservation, dedicate themselves to raising their children, and then age themselves without demand. Childbearing and parenting itself should be so.

But the question is how many people can reach such a "noble" level?

The Norwegians can't reach it. The Japanese can't reach it. The vast majority of the world's population, presumably, can't reach it!

One is the cost of education, from birth to kindergarten to elementary school and even high school is a lot of money, economic pressure. One is that parents are busy working to earn money, do not have time to take care of more than one child, the happiness of this society has to rely on the support of money, the rich people spend money like dirt, the poor people earn money is difficult. Third, housing pressure, their own house has been enough to pay off their debts for more than half a lifetime, and then can not afford to let the next generation to worry about the nest photo. Fourth, the rise in consumer costs is greater than income, why a family of five or six children in the last century, not like today's one or two children under pressure, the reason for this. Fifth, no time, no energy, no strength to have a child.

The birth rate is getting lower and lower, the root cause of this phenomenon is that nowadays the pressure of life is too great, two people's wages to raise a child need to help the old family, but also often worry about career problems, let alone in the more to raise a child can not afford to feed.

Remember when we were young, each family has five or six children, and is only one person's salary can also support a large family, that time wages are not high, prices are stable the gap between rich and poor is not big, the people basically can afford to buy daily necessities, then there is no laid-off unemployed, basically after graduating from school will have a job, each family does not have to buy a house, are living in the unit dormitory, work in the The same yard, commuting is very convenient and fast, the unit has a cafeteria, sometimes you can go to the cafeteria to eat. Although not as materially rich as today's life, but live a very happy and joyful.

The birth rate is getting lower and lower, partly because people don't want to have babies, and partly because there really aren't any.

As per the information released by Ning Jizhe, Director General of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), according to preliminary statistics the number of newborns in China in 2020 was 12 million (official figures have not been released so far), with the number of births dropping by 2.65 million compared to the previous year.

According to relevant data, China's total fertility rate will be 1.3 in 2020, which is already lower than the demographic alert level of 1.5, and in the long run it may fall into a fertility trap. For this reason, on May 31 of this year, the State rapidly deployed the liberalization of the three-child policy, and at the same time began to strengthen auxiliary measures to encourage childbirth.

The number one reason for people's low desire to have children isexpensive housing. Many young people, in order to buy a house, after their parents have put together the down payment, they have to bear the repayment of the loan for 30 years. With no improvement in one's paycheck, one can't support oneself, and one has to support one's children?

The second reason.High work pressure. An Internet bigwig said that 996 is a blessing, and that many people are desperately trying to squeeze into these Internet bigwigs in order to realize the so-called freedom of wealth at an early date. Young people are going to work hard, how can they have time to have children?

The third reason.difficult educateThe number of children enrolled in kindergartens is now very low. It is now common for kindergartens to enrol only children over three years of age, and there is basically a gap in this part of the child care service between the end of maternity leave and the time when they enter kindergartens. Moreover, kindergarten education is also very expensive, and quality education is still very scarce.

With the addition of primary and secondary school rooms and university education fees, it costs millions of dollars to raise a child. With the income of young people nowadays, should they not eat or drink to raise a child?

The main reason.or a significant decline in fertility.. According to data from the National Statistical Yearbook, in 2019 the number of young people aged 15 to 19 in China was 71.54 million, of which the number of women was 32.76 million. The relative number of middle-aged and older people aged 45 to 49 is 122.64 million, and the number of women is 60.2 million.

The number of young women has dropped drastically, and the number of people giving birth to children will naturally drop drastically. Coupled with the fact that women are now generally getting older in education and the employment rate of women is rising, there really are not many people who are going to give birth to children.

According to the projections of the Academy of Social Sciences, the country's population peak is approaching in the next five to seven years, with the aging of the social structure increasing. There is a real need to step up efforts to catalyze births.

First, the cultural and ideological invasion of Western capitalist societies has led to changes in many people's "three views" and the emergence of a number of refined and extreme individualists among young people. They are very materialistic, but they have no sense of responsibility or dedication to their country, society, organizations or families. They only emphasize personal freedom, personal interests and personal enjoyment. Therefore, in their view, having children is a heavy burden, a burden, a yoke, a pain, and they would rather be homosexuals and Dinks than have children.

Secondly, as a result of the rapid development of the productive forces, society has been moving towards progress and affluence, and the development of pension services has been perfected, so that the traditional concepts of society, such as "raising a child for the sake of old age, transmitting the family line, and being unfilial if there is no descendant" have been completely shattered, which has had a serious impact on the desire of young people to have children.

Thirdly, the current high housing prices, high school fees, high childcare costs and high medical costs are also important reasons for young people's reluctance to have children.

Fourth, most young people work in private enterprises, where labor discipline is too strict, working hours are long, overtime work is frequent, and having children affects or loses one's job, as well as one's desire to have children.

(v) Excessive bride price, wedding ceremonies, gas cars and home appliances and furniture costs for marriage have caused young people not to get married or to get married late, and have also affected fertility.

There are three fundamental reasons for the declining birth rate: first, the one-child family planning policy has been a habit for decades, and it is difficult to change habits; second, in a market economy, young people are under great pressure of life, and they simply cannot afford to give birth to children, nor can they afford to raise them. Thirdly, the concept of "more children, more happiness" does not exist in the minds of young people today. These three points will lead to a lower and lower birth rate.